Page 2 of 3

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 2:25 pm
by shooker
better than 6

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 2:29 pm
by Lee
I have all the cap relief you guys need ;)

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 2:31 pm
by MSP4LYFE
Nick, those numbers are misleading. Joe Pavelski is 6th on the Sharks (among forwards) in ESTOI/G, but second in both SHTOI/G and PPTOI/G. All of which add up to the third most minutes per game among SJS forwards. It is pretty clear that Pavelski is one of the go to guys in SJS, his low ESTOI totals are a mere byproduct of being the go to option on both the pp and pk with Marleau.

In regards to Shoalzie's point about face-off's, I disagree completely. Pavelski is second on the Sharks in both FOT and FO% (second by only 0.1%), despite playing only 74 games last season. The same held true last season. Why on earth would Joe Pavelski suddenly drop down to the third face-off option, or the wing as you stated? It makes no sense.

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 2:34 pm
by Nick
Kareem that is what I said. He's 3rd line only if you count down the SJS lines...it's like calling Briere the 3rd line centre in Philly. There is no reason via stats or having watched them to expect him to move to the wing. He'll be their '3rd' line centre and be used often on special teams and in tight games. Basically I didn't like the analysis of the trade.


Is he as skilled as Hank, nope and I don't think anyone would say that. However he is more well-rounded, younger, and a nicer cap hit. The last point being of the upmost concern for Shiv to make this deal.

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 2:35 pm
by shooker
MSP4LYFE wroteCOLONNick, those numbers are misleading. Joe Pavelski is 6th on the Sharks (among forwards) in ESTOI/G, but second in both SHTOI/G and PPTOI/G. All of which add up to the third most minutes per game among SJS forwards. It is pretty clear that Pavelski is one of the go to guys in SJS, his low ESTOI totals are a mere byproduct of being the go to option on both the pp and pk with Marleau.

In regards to Shoalzie's point about face-off's, I disagree completely. Pavelski is second on the Sharks in both FOT and FO% (second by only 0.1%), despite playing only 74 games last season. The same held true last season. Why on earth would Joe Pavelski suddenly drop down to the third face-off option, or the wing as you stated? It makes no sense.
+2

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 2:37 pm
by Robin Hood
Can't disagree with Nick, Bry or Kareem here. If BBKL had a draft Henrik/Daniel would obviously get taken before Pavelski. But it is about fit. I am going to be moving Daniel in a similar deal to one gm or another soon as well.

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 2:39 pm
by MSP4LYFE
facey wroteCOLONKareem that is what I said. He's 3rd line only if you count down the SJS lines...it's like calling Briere the 3rd line centre in Philly. There is no reason via stats or having watched them to expect him to move to the wing. He'll be their '3rd' line centre and be used often on special teams and in tight games. Basically I didn't like the analysis of the trade.


Is he as skilled as Hank, nope and I don't think anyone would say that. However he is more well-rounded, younger, and a nicer cap hit. The last point being of the upmost concern for Shiv to make this deal.
Joe Pavelski is not the third liner by any definition. He plays top 6 minutes ES, is top 2 special teams, and a top line forward in terms of total time on ice. I'm not sure what the need is to label him a third liner, when he doesn't play third line in any situations.

FTR, the argument was in regards to your point that Pavelski is a third liner ES, which is false.

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 2:51 pm
by Nick
Joe Thornton players line 1 even strength.

Logan Couture centred line 2

Joe Pavelski plays centre.



which line does he centre kareem? linemates?

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 2:55 pm
by Shep
facey wroteCOLONJoe Thornton players line 1 even strength.

Logan Couture centred line 2

Joe Pavelski plays centre.



which line does he centre kareem? linemates?
What line does Marleau centre?

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 2:59 pm
by Shoalzie
MSP4LYFE wroteCOLONIn regards to Shoalzie's point about face-off's, I disagree completely. Pavelski is second on the Sharks in both FOT and FO% (second by only 0.1%), despite playing only 74 games last season. The same held true last season. Why on earth would Joe Pavelski suddenly drop down to the third face-off option, or the wing as you stated? It makes no sense.

Uh, they just traded one of their top 6 wingers and the roster is oversatured with centers. Between Thornton, Marleau, Couture and Pavelski...someone is going to play the wing. Heatley and Clowe (outside of Setoguchi) are their only natural wingers in the top 6. McLellan made it a point to put two guys on the ice (especially during the series with the Wings) that can take draws so Pavelski can easily play the wing on a line with Thornton or Couture and mix in on faceoffs depending on where the draw is taking place. Pavelski is good on draws and I'm not saying he won't take them anymore...it just might decrease if his spot in the lineup changes (ie--if he moves to the wing to make up for trading away Setoguchi).

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 3:08 pm
by Nick
Pavelski is a wicked right handed centre, natural fit on a double dot line with all the Left handed centres SJS has.

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 3:15 pm
by MSP4LYFE
facey wroteCOLONJoe Thornton players line 1 even strength.

Logan Couture centred line 2

Joe Pavelski plays centre.



which line does he centre kareem? linemates?
Actually Pavelski centered line two, ergo the fact that he has 132 more FOT, despite playing in 5 less games. Those ESTOI/G figures don't lie, and Pavelski is 6th among all forwards, all of 12 seconds behind Logan Couture...Or did Pavelski get all those FOT on the pk?

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 3:19 pm
by MSP4LYFE
Shoalzie wroteCOLON
MSP4LYFE wroteCOLONIn regards to Shoalzie's point about face-off's, I disagree completely. Pavelski is second on the Sharks in both FOT and FO% (second by only 0.1%), despite playing only 74 games last season. The same held true last season. Why on earth would Joe Pavelski suddenly drop down to the third face-off option, or the wing as you stated? It makes no sense.

Uh, they just traded one of their top 6 wingers and the roster is oversatured with centers. Between Thornton, Marleau, Couture and Pavelski...someone is going to play the wing. Heatley and Clowe (outside of Setoguchi) are their only natural wingers in the top 6. McLellan made it a point to put two guys on the ice (especially during the series with the Wings) that can take draws so Pavelski can easily play the wing on a line with Thornton or Couture and mix in on faceoffs depending on where the draw is taking place. Pavelski is good on draws and I'm not saying he won't take them anymore...it just might decrease if his spot in the lineup changes (ie--if he moves to the wing to make up for trading away Setoguchi).
It is pretty clear that Marleau will be the one moving to the wing, as he has the last two seasons. Pavelski is the second best center on the team, and it has been proven time and time again...JTFR, you were wrong, Pavelski was second among all Sharks forwards in FOT in the playoffs, 64 more than Couture (in only 18 games). I am unsure why you and Nick believe Couture will be centering the second line (ES) over Pavelski? It was an experiment the Sharks tried a month into last season, and never since. The numbers bear that out quite clearly.

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 3:20 pm
by Shep
Everything above 1%.


Joe Pavelski
Frequency Strength Line Combination
13.87% EV 17 MITCHELL,TORREY - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE - 20 WELLWOOD,KYLE
9.44% PP 15 HEATLEY,DANY - 12 MARLEAU,PATRICK - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE - 19 THORNTON,JOE
7.08% EV 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE
6.24% SH 12 MARLEAU,PATRICK - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE
6.04% EV 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE - 16 SETOGUCHI,DEVIN
4.3% EV 64 MCGINN,JAMIE - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE - 16 SETOGUCHI,DEVIN
3.58% EV 64 MCGINN,JAMIE - 17 MITCHELL,TORREY - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE
2.98% EV 15 HEATLEY,DANY - 17 MITCHELL,TORREY - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE
2.75% EV 12 MARLEAU,PATRICK - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE - 19 THORNTON,JOE
2.17% EV 12 MARLEAU,PATRICK - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE - 16 SETOGUCHI,DEVIN
1.94% EV 15 HEATLEY,DANY - 12 MARLEAU,PATRICK - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE
1.91% EV 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 17 MITCHELL,TORREY - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE
1.85% EV 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 15 HEATLEY,DANY - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE
1.76% PP 12 MARLEAU,PATRICK - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE - 16 SETOGUCHI,DEVIN - 19 THORNTON,JOE
1.27% EV 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 12 MARLEAU,PATRICK - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE
1.27% SH 15 HEATLEY,DANY - 12 MARLEAU,PATRICK - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE - 19 THORNTON,JOE
1.19% EV 12 MARLEAU,PATRICK - 17 MITCHELL,TORREY - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE
1.15% EV 43 MCCARTHY,JOHN - 17 MITCHELL,TORREY - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE
1.13% EV 12 MARLEAU,PATRICK - 64 MCGINN,JAMIE - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE
1.13% EV 55 EAGER,BEN - 17 MITCHELL,TORREY - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE

Logan Couture
Frequency Strength Line Combination
15.19% EV 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 15 HEATLEY,DANY
12.87% EV 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 78 FERRIERO,BENN
7.57% EV 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 8 PAVELSKI,JOE
4.37% EV 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 20 WELLWOOD,KYLE
4.33% EV 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 16 SETOGUCHI,DEVIN - 19 THORNTON,JOE
3.73% PP 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 16 SETOGUCHI,DEVIN
3.43% EV 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 15 HEATLEY,DANY - 12 MARLEAU,PATRICK
2.39% EV 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 64 MCGINN,JAMIE - 17 MITCHELL,TORREY
2.36% EV 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 10 MAYERS,JAMAL
2.19% EV 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 15 HEATLEY,DANY - 16 SETOGUCHI,DEVIN
2.19% EV 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 15 HEATLEY,DANY - 19 THORNTON,JOE
2.04% EV 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 12 MARLEAU,PATRICK
1.95% EV 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 16 SETOGUCHI,DEVIN
1.8% EV 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 55 EAGER,BEN - 20 WELLWOOD,KYLE
1.65% EV 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 55 EAGER,BEN
1.44% EV 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 39 COUTURE,LOGAN
1.41% SH 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 10 MAYERS,JAMAL
1.13% EV 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 64 MCGINN,JAMIE - 16 SETOGUCHI,DEVIN
1.1% PP 29 CLOWE,RYANE - 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 78 FERRIERO,BENN
1.08% EV 39 COUTURE,LOGAN - 78 FERRIERO,BENN - 15 HEATLEY,DANY

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 3:22 pm
by Nick
he played 100 less minutes even strength Kareem. 12 second less a game... and remember, couture started the year as a rookie, by the end of the year was knocking on 20min most games.


However you continue to prove how pig-headed you are when you're PMSing. i said, and have continued to say '3rd' line... meaning he's not actually a 3rd line centre, only my the classical and narrow definition of working through the lines.

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 3:27 pm
by Nick
Pavelski and Marleau are the two guys that can play RW well, more-over Joe is the only right handed centre in this group we're talking about, natural fit for a dual-centre line...probably with jumbo as they work well together.

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 3:35 pm
by MSP4LYFE
facey wroteCOLONhe played 100 less minutes even strength Kareem. 12 second less a game...
Total TOI means nothing because of the disparity in GP, that goes without saying really. With Pavelski out of the lineup Couture's minutes went up while Pavelski's remained static, and with Pavelski out of the lineup it stands to reason that Couture would get more playing time and FOT than usual.
facey wroteCOLONand remember, couture started the year as a rookie, by the end of the year was knocking on 20min most games.
The best way to judge this statement is by looking at playoff numbers. Pavelski averaged over 21 minutes of total time on ice, and Couture under 20. No matter how you slice it, during the season, or at the end of it, Pavelski was the second line center on the SJS Sharks.
facey wroteCOLONHowever you continue to prove how pig-headed you are when you're PMSing. i said, and have continued to say '3rd' line... meaning he's not actually a 3rd line centre, only my the classical and narrow definition of working through the lines.
If by pig headed you mean, right, than I concur.

For the last time, Pavelski was not a third liner by any definition. He played top 6 minutes ES, on the pp, and shorthanded. In what alternate universe does that equate to the third line? I don't give two shits if Briere was labeled a third liner by some idiots who determine playing time by the order in the line up card. It is wrong, and you are back tracking towards a "narrow definition" because you realize your initial point was wrong. Otherwise why use a definition that is inaccurate?

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 3:40 pm
by Nick
you win, you are the biggest idiot.

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 3:41 pm
by Nick
Even strength in the playoff logan also played more.

Re: FLA/PIT LITTLE JOE!

PostedCOLON Tue Jun 28, 2011 3:42 pm
by Nick
facey wroteCOLON
He'll stay exactly where he was this past season IMO, where he put up career # despite playing '3rd' line (even strength), and that allows him to be PP1 (although that might be what changes with Burns), and PK1.