Re: Henrik Lundqvist
PostedCOLON Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:11 pm
Even in a world where all backup goaltenders are constant. You would have to run the simulation 1000's of times to get consistent results like this. Far too much variance in goaltender numbers to expect that kind of result consistently in a single season.Matthew wroteCOLONYeah. Of course goalies have swings up and down week to week. but if you have the 5th best goalie in sv%, gaa, and wins, then on average they will win 25 weeks and lose 5 weeks. They will come up against a hot goalie in the same week they are hot and lose, but then they could come up against a cold goalie in the same week they are cold and win that week also. being a top goalie just means that on average you will end up on the better side of the equation. seems fairly important to me if a goalie can go 25-5 in his categories, and shift the playing field to your side of the field before the skaters have even started.
also, smith had good games once in a while, but he never ever evvveeerrr strung together 4 games in a row of elite goaltending and get 2 or 3 wins on arizona. lundy is capable of doing that week in and week out.